Reducing Future Losses to Present Value

Methods, assumptions, and the documentation that makes a present-value calculation defensible.

Economic · 10 min read

Abstract

Future economic losses, whether lost earnings or the cost of future care, must be expressed as a single present value so they can be compared and awarded today. The present value depends on the projected stream of losses, the growth applied to that stream, and the discount rate used to bring it back to the present. This paper explains each component, the assumptions that drive the result, and the documentation that allows a present-value calculation to be examined and tested.

Key takeaways

What is inside

  1. Why present value is required
  2. Building the loss stream
  3. Projecting growth
  4. Selecting the discount rate
  5. Consistency between growth and discounting
  6. Sensitivity and ranges
  7. Documentation that makes the calculation testable